Cablenomics Introduction
Think back just a year ago to the start of the new
millennium. Coming off a roaring stock market, anything even remotely tied to
technology seemed to be an upward spiral, with no end in sight for double-digit
growth.
Unfortunately the world of 2001 is fundamentally different,
with technology out-of-favor, capital spending on telecommunications dropping
quickly and growth forecasts over the next 3-4 unlikely to exceed 2%. Our newly
elected President has inherited a very difficult economic climate, something
that many people in our cabling industry are experiencing first-hand.
What should you do? Manufacturers will need to dramatically
reduce costs and potentially postpone development of new technologies and
platforms. Previous investments in the physical layer has already dramatically
improved the reliability and speed of current networks. As Michael Dell from
Dell Computer stated on a related subject, people are not automatically
upgrading their PC’s to the latest processor – Speed does not automatically
sell.
As a distributor, you may need to make a critical and
strategic tradeoff between continuing to offer a wide selection of products or
having a fewer number of vendors but having higher profit margins on each of
the remaining lines.
Finally as a VAR/installer, you will need to emphasize
services and on-going maintenance/support and not necessarily new installations
or product revenues.
Obviously this downturn will not happen overnight but it
will occur much more quickly than you’d expect and companies are urged to take
action sooner not later. From our own selfish perspective this time of
uncertainty will hopefully inspire small business owners to consider selling
their business - and using Gerber &
Company, LLC to handle this transaction.
Gerber’s main business is representing privately-held
systems integration and cabling installation firms who want to raise capital or
be acquired by a larger entity. If you are considering selling your firm and
are interested in having an initial, exploratory meeting with Gerber &
Company, LLC, then you should contact us at your earliest convenience. Ron
Gerber, President of Gerber & Company, LLC can be reached at 212-904-1940 x
101 (phone) or via email at rgerber@gerbercompany.com.
Please remember however that Cabling Business Magazine and
Gerber & Company, LLC cannot be held responsible for any printing errors.
Readers should use this article for informative purposes alone. Any investment
decisions should be made with the advice of a financial professional.
Stock Price Table
|
Cable
Mfgr
|
|
10-Mar
|
15-Jun
|
19-Sep
|
28-Nov
|
18-Dec
|
|
CDT
|
CDT
|
18.00
|
20.75
|
25.13
|
15.13
|
16.81
|
|
|
Corning
|
GLW
|
56.00
|
65.00
|
100.00
|
61.00
|
64.50
|
|
|
Tyco
|
TYC
|
34.88
|
48.88
|
51.54
|
55.63
|
54.25
|
|
|
Belden
|
BWC
|
20.25
|
26.94
|
22.63
|
23.19
|
23.38
|
|
|
Sup
Tel
|
SUT
|
13.44
|
11.13
|
7.84
|
3.13
|
2.63
|
|
|
Gen
Cab
|
BGC
|
7.00
|
7.75
|
8.13
|
6.31
|
4.94
|
|
|
Encore
|
WIRE
|
8.50
|
5.91
|
7.44
|
6.63
|
5.78
|
|
|
Optical
|
OCCF
|
17.38
|
30.50
|
38.94
|
13.25
|
12.18
|
|
|
Comm
|
CTV
|
42.44
|
34.94
|
24.75
|
17.31
|
16.25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HW Mfgrs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3Com
|
COMS
|
46.31
|
49.69
|
16.00
|
13.30
|
9.13
|
|
|
Molex
|
MOLX
|
51.94
|
50.81
|
54.00
|
42.30
|
41.00
|
|
|
Cabletron
|
CS
|
29.00
|
22.38
|
33.13
|
17.00
|
14.25
|
|
|
Hubbell
|
HUB/B
|
27.94
|
26.44
|
22.75
|
25.88
|
22.81
|
|
|
Microtest
|
MTST
|
7.44
|
8.81
|
7.50
|
3.38
|
2.87
|
|
|
Com Sys
|
CSII
|
13.75
|
16.13
|
13.63
|
10.75
|
10.00
|
|
|
Cisco
|
CSCO
|
53.80
|
66.50
|
62.00
|
51.00
|
42.95
|
|
|
Lucent
|
LU
|
53.38
|
59.69
|
36.69
|
15.88
|
17.54
|
|
|
Thomas
Betts
|
TNB
|
33.38
|
27.75
|
18.00
|
15.00
|
13.86
|
|
|
Adv
Elect
|
AESP
|
2.53
|
2.50
|
2.21
|
1.31
|
1.18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distributors
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anicom
|
ANIC
|
4.31
|
4.22
|
3.81
|
3.81
|
N/a
|
|
|
Alltel
|
AT
|
79.38
|
66.31
|
49.50
|
60.25
|
62.94
|
|
|
Anixter
|
AXE
|
21.06
|
31.00
|
31.38
|
19.44
|
18.31
|
|
|
Systemax
|
SYX
|
8.38
|
4.38
|
3.06
|
1.45
|
12.13
|
|
|
Ingram
|
IM
|
|
16.88
|
15.06
|
14.31
|
11.94
|
|
|
Merisel
|
MSEL
|
|
1.06
|
.82
|
.38
|
.18
|
|
|
Techdata
|
TECD
|
|
40.50
|
48.69
|
29.00
|
28.06
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
VAR
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MasTec
|
MTZ
|
43.06
|
61.25
|
34.29
|
28.63
|
25.75
|
|
|
Norstan
|
NRRD
|
5.25
|
4.81
|
4.00
|
2.96
|
1.56
|
|
|
Datatec
|
DATC
|
7.25
|
5.63
|
4.31
|
2.68
|
2.06
|
|
|
Pomeroy
|
PMRY
|
15.13
|
14.63
|
20.88
|
15.63
|
14.25
|
|
|
Argus
|
ARGX
|
12.88
|
16.22
|
20.44
|
13.20
|
11.38
|
|
|
Black
Box
|
BBOX
|
64.31
|
84.06
|
54.81
|
58.88
|
50.88
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stock Index
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DJIA
|
|
11722
|
10714
|
10789
|
10508
|
10645
|
|
|
S&P
500
|
|
1465
|
1478
|
1459
|
1336
|
1323
|
|
|
Nasdaq
|
|
4064
|
3845
|
3865
|
2735
|
2624
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Datatec
Datatec Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq:DATC - news), a provider of deployment
services and software tools, reported results for the second quarter ended
October 31, 2000. Highlights of the report were:
- FY2001
Q2 revenues at $32.7m were the highest quarterly revenues in Datatec
history, representing an increase of 28.2% versus the same quarter last
year and 32.6% higher than FY2001 Q1.
- FY2001
Q2 consolidated earnings per share prior to minority interest was $.03
compared with $.03 last year.
- Datatec
Services earned $.07 per share compared to $.02 last year and breakeven
last quarter.
- eDeploy
sales were $834K for the quarter, an increase of 74% over Q2 last year.
- Indirect
Sales were $14.3m for the quarter, an increase of 393% over the same
quarter last year and 28.8% higher than last quarter.
``We are extremely pleased with these results and remain
confident that similar year over year levels of growth should now be
sustainable,'' said Isaac Gaon, Datatec CEO and Chairman. ``The lack of
deployment capabilities has become one of the biggest restraints to growth for
all technology companies, and Datatec is the only company that is solely
focused on this $70 billion market. Since its move to an indirect sales model
some two years ago, indirect sales now accounts for 44% of Datatec Services'
total business. The enormous leverage of the indirect model, where we have the
sales forces of our strategic partners providing us with opportunities, should
continue to furnish Datatec with ample top line growth, and create a much
larger rate of increase to the bottom line. We are now moving to further
penetrate the indirect channel on a global scale via our newly-established Global
Integration Services subsidiary in the U.K.''
Tom Stevenson President & CEO of eDeploy.com commented,
``Customer response to eDeploy remains extremely positive, and the software is
now being utilized by partners to manage projects on four continents. eDeploy's
near term focus is to quickly extend our market lead by expanding our excellent
relationships with Cisco and NCR and work toward developing reseller
relationships with key players in the channel.''
Black Box Corporation
Black Box Corporation (Nasdaq:BBOX - news) announced a merger with
LANmark Communications, Inc. Established in 1994 in Auburn, Massachusetts,
privately held LANmark provides technical design, installation and maintenance
services for premise cabling and related services to customers primarily in the
northeast United States. Annual revenues of LANmark are approximately $7
million.
Commenting on the merger, Henry E. Eknaian, Jr., President
of Black Box Network Services - New England Operations, said, ``LANmark is a
welcome addition to the Black Box family. Their technical expertise and solid
customer base will strengthen our New England organization and their customers
will benefit from our worldwide network services team. This is truly a win-win
situation.''
Peter L. Copeland, Jr., President of LANmark, said, ``The
merger with Black Box provides us with significant additional resources to
better serve our customer base locally, nationally and internationally. The
merger will also provide our employees additional opportunities to further
their professional development.''