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Cablenomics Introduction

Think back just a year ago to the start of the new millennium. Coming off a roaring stock market, anything even remotely tied to technology seemed to be an upward spiral, with no end in sight for double-digit growth.

 

Unfortunately the world of 2001 is fundamentally different, with technology out-of-favor, capital spending on telecommunications dropping quickly and growth forecasts over the next 3-4 unlikely to exceed 2%. Our newly elected President has inherited a very difficult economic climate, something that many people in our cabling industry are experiencing first-hand.

 

What should you do? Manufacturers will need to dramatically reduce costs and potentially postpone development of new technologies and platforms. Previous investments in the physical layer has already dramatically improved the reliability and speed of current networks. As Michael Dell from Dell Computer stated on a related subject, people are not automatically upgrading their PC’s to the latest processor – Speed does not automatically sell.

 

As a distributor, you may need to make a critical and strategic tradeoff between continuing to offer a wide selection of products or having a fewer number of vendors but having higher profit margins on each of the remaining lines.

 

Finally as a VAR/installer, you will need to emphasize services and on-going maintenance/support and not necessarily new installations or product revenues.

 

Obviously this downturn will not happen overnight but it will occur much more quickly than you’d expect and companies are urged to take action sooner not later. From our own selfish perspective this time of uncertainty will hopefully inspire small business owners to consider selling their business  - and using Gerber & Company, LLC to handle this transaction.

 

Gerber’s main business is representing privately-held systems integration and cabling installation firms who want to raise capital or be acquired by a larger entity. If you are considering selling your firm and are interested in having an initial, exploratory meeting with Gerber & Company, LLC, then you should contact us at your earliest convenience. Ron Gerber, President of Gerber & Company, LLC can be reached at 212-904-1940 x 101 (phone) or via email at rgerber@gerbercompany.com.

 

Please remember however that Cabling Business Magazine and Gerber & Company, LLC cannot be held responsible for any printing errors. Readers should use this article for informative purposes alone. Any investment decisions should be made with the advice of a financial professional.

 

 


Stock Price Table

 

Cable Mfgr

 

10-Mar

15-Jun

19-Sep

28-Nov

18-Dec

CDT

CDT

18.00

       20.75

25.13

15.13

16.81

 

Corning

GLW

56.00

65.00

100.00

61.00

64.50

 

Tyco

TYC

34.88

       48.88

51.54

55.63

54.25

 

Belden

BWC

20.25

       26.94

22.63

23.19

23.38

 

Sup Tel

SUT

13.44

       11.13

7.84

3.13

2.63

 

Gen Cab

BGC

7.00

         7.75

8.13

6.31

4.94

 

Encore

WIRE

8.50

         5.91

7.44

6.63

5.78

 

Optical

OCCF

17.38

       30.50

38.94

13.25

12.18

 

Comm

CTV

42.44

       34.94

24.75

17.31

16.25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HW Mfgrs

 

 

 

 

 

 

3Com

COMS

46.31

       49.69

16.00

13.30

9.13

 

Molex

MOLX

51.94

       50.81

54.00

42.30

41.00

 

Cabletron

CS

29.00

       22.38

33.13

17.00

14.25

 

Hubbell

HUB/B

27.94

       26.44

22.75

25.88

22.81

 

Microtest

MTST

7.44

         8.81

7.50

3.38

2.87

 

Com Sys

CSII

13.75

       16.13

13.63

10.75

10.00

 

Cisco

CSCO

53.80

       66.50

62.00

51.00

42.95

 

Lucent

LU

53.38

       59.69

36.69

15.88

17.54

 

Thomas Betts

TNB

33.38

       27.75

18.00

15.00

13.86

 

Adv Elect

AESP

2.53

         2.50

2.21

1.31

1.18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distributors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anicom

ANIC

4.31

         4.22

3.81

3.81

N/a

 

Alltel

AT

79.38

66.31      

49.50

60.25

62.94

 

Anixter

AXE

21.06

       31.00

31.38

19.44

18.31

 

Systemax

SYX

8.38

         4.38

3.06

1.45

12.13

 

Ingram

IM

 

       16.88

15.06

14.31

11.94

 

Merisel

MSEL

 

         1.06

.82

.38

.18

 

Techdata

TECD

 

       40.50

48.69

29.00

28.06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VAR

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MasTec

MTZ

43.06

       61.25

34.29

28.63

25.75

 

Norstan

NRRD

5.25

         4.81

4.00

2.96

1.56

 

Datatec

DATC

7.25

         5.63

4.31

2.68

2.06

 

Pomeroy

PMRY

15.13

       14.63

20.88

15.63

14.25

 

Argus

ARGX

12.88

       16.22

20.44

13.20

11.38

 

Black Box

BBOX

64.31

       84.06

54.81

58.88

50.88

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Index

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DJIA

 

11722

10714

10789

10508

10645

 

S&P 500

 

1465

1478

1459

1336

1323

 

Nasdaq

 

4064

3845

3865

2735

2624

 


Datatec

Datatec Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq:DATC - news), a provider of deployment services and software tools, reported results for the second quarter ended October 31, 2000. Highlights of the report were:

  • FY2001 Q2 revenues at $32.7m were the highest quarterly revenues in Datatec history, representing an increase of 28.2% versus the same quarter last year and 32.6% higher than FY2001 Q1.
  • FY2001 Q2 consolidated earnings per share prior to minority interest was $.03 compared with $.03 last year.
  • Datatec Services earned $.07 per share compared to $.02 last year and breakeven last quarter.
  • eDeploy sales were $834K for the quarter, an increase of 74% over Q2 last year.
  • Indirect Sales were $14.3m for the quarter, an increase of 393% over the same quarter last year and 28.8% higher than last quarter.

 

``We are extremely pleased with these results and remain confident that similar year over year levels of growth should now be sustainable,'' said Isaac Gaon, Datatec CEO and Chairman. ``The lack of deployment capabilities has become one of the biggest restraints to growth for all technology companies, and Datatec is the only company that is solely focused on this $70 billion market. Since its move to an indirect sales model some two years ago, indirect sales now accounts for 44% of Datatec Services' total business. The enormous leverage of the indirect model, where we have the sales forces of our strategic partners providing us with opportunities, should continue to furnish Datatec with ample top line growth, and create a much larger rate of increase to the bottom line. We are now moving to further penetrate the indirect channel on a global scale via our newly-established Global Integration Services subsidiary in the U.K.''

 

Tom Stevenson President & CEO of eDeploy.com commented, ``Customer response to eDeploy remains extremely positive, and the software is now being utilized by partners to manage projects on four continents. eDeploy's near term focus is to quickly extend our market lead by expanding our excellent relationships with Cisco and NCR and work toward developing reseller relationships with key players in the channel.''

 

Black Box Corporation

Black Box Corporation (Nasdaq:BBOX - news) announced a merger with LANmark Communications, Inc. Established in 1994 in Auburn, Massachusetts, privately held LANmark provides technical design, installation and maintenance services for premise cabling and related services to customers primarily in the northeast United States. Annual revenues of LANmark are approximately $7 million.

 

Commenting on the merger, Henry E. Eknaian, Jr., President of Black Box Network Services - New England Operations, said, ``LANmark is a welcome addition to the Black Box family. Their technical expertise and solid customer base will strengthen our New England organization and their customers will benefit from our worldwide network services team. This is truly a win-win situation.''

 

Peter L. Copeland, Jr., President of LANmark, said, ``The merger with Black Box provides us with significant additional resources to better serve our customer base locally, nationally and internationally. The merger will also provide our employees additional opportunities to further their professional development.''